Service Plays Friday 07/24/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL


FRIDAY, JULY 24

Game 403-404: Toronto at Winnipeg
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 101.899; Winnipeg 107.123
Dunkel Line: Winnipeg by 5; 57
Vegas Line: Winnipeg by 3 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-3 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Calgary at BC
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 112.335; BC 110.229
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 2; 54
Vegas Line: Calgary by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+3); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL LONG SHEET


Week 4

Friday, July 24

TORONTO (1 - 2) at WINNIPEG (1 - 2) - 7/24/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (1 - 2) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (1 - 2) - 7/24/2009, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 4 CFL games

Friday, July 24

Toronto (1-2) @ Winnipeg (1-2)-- Argos gave up 46-44 points in losing last two games; they've been outscored 45-0 in second half of their two road games. Argos turned ball over five times in each of last two games. Bombers have run ball 29 times for 19 yards in three games, completed less than half their passes in all three games, but are +7 in turnovers.

Calgary (1-2) @ BCLions (1-2)-- Both teams won first game last week, as Stampeders crushed Toronto 44-9, but Stamps still had 16 penalties, have 30 in last two games. Underdog won all three Lion games, with all three going over total- BC protected ball better in first win last week, with just one turnover, after giving ball away eight times first two games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Canadian bacon: CFL Week 4 preview and picks

Friday, July 24

TORONTO ARGONAUTS (1-2) at WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (1-2)

Toronto will be without wide receivers Andre Talbot (sprained ankle) and Matt Lambros (knee) but youngster Mike Bradwell showed he can provide a fine target for Kerry Joseph. The Argos just can’t seem to run the ball consistently despite the obvious talent of running back Jamal Robertson. Former Bombers Dominic Picard and Zeke Moreno would probably like to help the Argos win this one even if they were downplaying any feeling of revenge this week. In Winnipeg, the heat is now on young QB Stefan LeFors and head coach Mike Kelly. This game could be ugly at times and we will carefully go with the Argos on this one.

Pick: Argonauts

CALGARY STAMPEDERS (1-2) at B.C. LIONS (1-2)

There is already a quarterback controversy in Vancouver after Jarious Jackson came off the bench to win one for the Lions after Buck Pierce suffered a concussion. Wally Buono insists Pierce is still the No. 1 man but the pressure to perform is definitely there more than ever. No such controversy in Calgary where Henry Burris finally played to the level expected last week against the Argos, completing 23-of-32 for 348 yards and one touchdown. The Stampeders will prevail in B.C.

Pick: Calgary

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Rays and Braves Thursday.

Today it's the Royals. The surplus is 975 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

July 24, 2009

The indignities continue to amass for Hondo, who went with the Rays yesterday and ended up getting smoked by Buehrle's el perfecto. As a result, Mr. Aitch, winless since the All-Star Game, saw his debt grow to 415 applings, "What's next," wonders emauler Ed Buckmir, "loss by forfeit?"

Tonight, his 'Dog And Pony Up The Dough Show takes him to the A's, Rays and Cards. Ten units apiece.

 

[JDizzle311]

Chris Jordan

100♦ TAMPA BAY RAYS (LIST Garza and Halladay) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

100♦ TEXAS RANGERS (LIST Feldman and Greinke) -

100♦ L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE (LIST Kershaw) -

Bought, Paid, Confirmed by ME! I'll Post the write-up when it becomes available

 

[cork999]

Scott Delaney
Friday night ... 5-DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (Action) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

5-DIME COLORADO ROCKIES (WITH Marquis) -

5-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS (WITH Smith and Laffey) -




BOUGHT,PAIB AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME--------GL GUYS

 

[cork999]

Dominic Fazzini
Dominic Fazzini Friday's play 10 Dime -- Braves (Vazquez) over BREWERS (Parra)

BRAVES
NOTE: List only Vazquez as Atlanta's starting pitcher

Brewers left-hander Manny Parra (4-8, 6.37 ERA) has been sharp in two outings since spending a month in the minors, allowing one runs and eight hits in 13 innings while striking out 13.

Parra was downright awful before that, however, and gave up five runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings on June 7 in his lone career start against the Braves.

He will be opposed by Atlanta right-hander Javier Vazquez (7-7, 2.86), who ranks in the top ten in the National League in ERA and strikeouts (141).

Vazquez has been strong over his last five starts, going 3-1 with a 1.34 ERA. He allowed one run and six hits in seven innings Sunday against the Mets in his last outing.

Vazquez is only 5-7 with a 4.87 ERA in 15 starts vs. Milwaukee, but he is 1-2 with a 2.17 ERA in his last four outings against the Brew Crew.

Milwaukee has lost 12 of its last 18, and is 1-7 in Parra’s last eight home starts.
Atlanta has won 15 of its last 22 games, and has a better record against southpaws (19-15) than against right-handers (30-32).

Look for Vazquez to continue to mow down batters today. Take the Braves in this one.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME--------GL GUYS

 

[cork999]

Tony Weston
Scott Delaney Friday night ... 5-DIME HOUSTON ASTROS (Action) - Analysis due back by 1:30 p.m. eastern

5-DIME COLORADO ROCKIES (WITH Marquis) -

5-DIME SEATTLE MARINERS (WITH Smith and Laffey) -



Tony Weston FRIDAY'S PLAYS 25 Dime Rangers

Rangers at Royals
RANGERS - The Texas Rangers have won four straight games coming into tonight, while the Kansas City Royals have lost nine straight.

Yet, the Rangers come into tonight installed as an underdog. It seems a little ridiculous and we’re taking full advantage of the Plus money.

After dominating the early part of the season, Zack Greinke has turned back into his Royal self. Well, in all fairness, he has pitched decently, but he’s had no run support behind him.

After starting the season a perfect 6-0, Greinke only has four wins his last 13 starts. In that stretch the Royals have gone 4-9 and are just 2-7 Greinke’s last 9 starts, including 0-3 his last three.

On the other side, the Rangers’ Scott Feldman has been solid his last 5 outings. The Rangers are 4-1 his last five starts and have won 6 of his last 7 starts on the road.

Also keep in mind that, going back to last year, the Rangers are 8-3 their last 11 games against the Royals.

Texas will do it again tonight and get over on Kanas City as a road ’dog. Take the Rangers on the road in this one tonight.






BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME--------GL GUYS

 

[CaliDreaming]

Tom Stryker's 5* MLB Statement Game of the Year - 21-8 Run!
#907 NY METS with Santana (-122) over Houston at 8:05 PM EST

 

[CaliDreaming]

BIG AL's RED-HOT MLB DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH!
At 9:10 pm our selection is on the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies 'under' the total.

 

[CaliDreaming]

Matt Fargo's **9** A.L. RUNLINE ***GAME OF THE MONTH*** - Friday
**9** A.L. RUNLINE ***GAME OF THE MONTH*** I will be riding the Yankees once again tonight.

 

[dacooler]

John Morrison System Play

Official Play

7/24 Toronto [A]

 

[Yanks]

INSIDE THE LINES

FRIDAY, JULY 24


NATIONAL LEAGUE


San Francisco (51-44) at Colorado (52-43)


The torrid Rockies, now leading the National League wild-card race, send right-hander Jason Hammel (5-4, 4.26 ERA) to the Coors Field mound to open a three-game weekend set against the Giants and All-Star righty Matt Cain (11-2, 2.32).


Colorado, which had Thursday off, took two of three at home against Arizona earlier this week, including Wednesday’s 4-3 victory. The Rockies sport runs of 32-11 overall, 16-6 at home and 5-1 after a day off, and they’ve won five straight series openers.


The Giants, who led Colorado in the wild-card chase 12 days ago, have tailed off since then, going 2-6 despite having one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. San Francisco dropped three in a row at Atlanta before finally breaking through with a 5-1 victory Thursday, with Barry Zito throwing seven innings of one-run ball and the Giants putting the game away with four runs in the eighth inning. Still, San Francisco is 20-29 on the road this year and is on addtional skids of 2-7 on the highway, 1-6 against righties on the road and 29-61 in roadies against winning teams.


San Francisco has taken three of the five meetings this season in this rivalry, after Colorado won 10 of the 15 clashes last year.


Colorado has won nine of its last 11 behind Hammel, including his last five home starts, dating to May 30. He had a good effort in his last outing, on Saturday at San Diego, allowing one run on five hits and three walks in 5 2/3 innings, but he got a no-decision in a 3-1 loss. The 26-year-old is 1-2 with an inflated 7.62 ERA in nine appearances (eight starts) at home this season. Earlier this year, in his lone career start against San Fran, he threw six shutout innings before getting a no-decision in a 1-0 road loss.


With Hammel on the bump, Colorado is on streaks of 9-2 overall, 5-0 at home and 5-1 as a favorite.


The Giants are 12-2 in Cain’s last 14 outings, winning the last three in a row. On Sunday at Pittsburgh, the 24-year-old yielded one run on five hits and two walks, with eight strikeouts, in seven innings of a 4-3 victory. Cain is 5-1 with a 2.39 ERA in nine road starts this year, and he’s 7-5 with a 3.11 ERA in 15 career starts against Colorado. He split two meetings with the Rockies this year, allowing all five runs in a 5-1 home loss May 2, then coming back five days later to throw six shutout innings in an 8-3 road victory.


The Giants are on runs behind Cain of 7-1 with the righty going on four days’ rest and 5-2 on the road, but they are on a 12-26 plunge with Cain facing N.L. West opponents.


The under for Colorado is on streaks of 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 behind Hammel, and the under for San Francisco is on rolls of 6-2 on the road, 17-8-3 inside the division, 5-1 with Cain hurling and 5-1 behind Cain on the highway. However, in this rivalry, the total has cleared the posted price in the last four clashes at Coors and is 4-1 in Cain’s last five road starts against the Rockies.


ATS ADVANTAGE: COLORADO




AMERICAN LEAGUE


Minnesota (48-48) at L.A. Angels (56-38)


The streaking Angels trot out right-hander John Lackey (5-4, 4.39 ERA) for the second game of a four-game home series against the Twins, who will counter with struggling left-hander Francisco Liriano (4-9, 5.33).


In Thursday’s opener, Los Angeles rallied from a 5-3 deficit in the bottom of the ninth inning, scoring twice to send the game into extra innings. Then in the bottom of the 10th, Mike Napoli’s two-out RBI single resulted in a 6-5 victory.. The Halos have won six in a row and 10 of their last 11, and they are on further hot streaks of 27-9 overall, 10-3 at home and 21-7 as a chalk.


Minnesota is still 10-6 in its last 16 as an underdog, and the Twins are on a 7-3 run as a road pup. Minnesota is also 5-3 in the last eight clashes in this rivalry, but the Angels are on a 21-8 spree in the last 29 meetings in Anaheim.


Los Angeles has won two in a row and four of five backing Lackey, with the 30-year-old earning the decision in his last two starts. In a pitchers duel Sunday at Oakland, Lackey threw a complete-game shutout in a 1-0 victory, allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out six. Lackey is 2-3 with a 4.89 ERA in five home starts this year, and he’s 5-5 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 career starts against the Twins, whom he hasn’t faced this season.


Despite their recent success behind Lackey, the Halos are still on slides of 2-6 at home behind the righty and 3-8 with Lackey facing a winning team.


Minnesota has lost in Liriano’s last two starts, following a three-game win streak behind the 25-year-old. On Sunday at Texas, he allowed three runs (two earned) on five hits and three walks in six innings of a 5-3 loss. Liriano is 3-4 with a 5.55 ERA in 11 road starts this season, and in his two career appearances (one start) against L.A., he’s 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA, though he hasn’t faced the Angels since 2006.


The Twins are 4-1 in Liriano’s last five road starts, but they are on a 4-10 slide with the southpaw going on four days’ rest.


The under is 7-3 in Lackey’s last 10 home starts, 4-1 with the righty a home chalk and 6-2 with Lackey facing the A.L. Central, and the under for Minnesota is on runs of 11-4 against righty starters, 30-11-2 on the road and 17-8-2 behind Liriano on the highway. However, the over for Los Angeles is on stretches of 26-10-2 overall, 8-1 at home and 5-1 with Lackey facing winning squads.


Finally, in this rivalry, the over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.


ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS

 

[Yanks]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at NY Yankees

The Yankees look to build on their 13-3 record in Joba Chamberlain's last 16 home starts. New York is the pick (-190) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-190). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, JULY 24

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 15.205; Cubs (Wells) 15.044
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+140); N/A
Game 903-904: San Diego at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Latos) 13.394; Washington (Mock) 13.959
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Under
Game 905-906: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.302; Philadelphia (Happ) 16.487
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Over
Game 907-908: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.590; Houston (Hampton) 15.170
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+115); Under
Game 909-910: Atlanta at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 14.412; Milwaukee (Parra) 15.108
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Over
Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.817; Colorado (Hammel) 14.960
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over
Game 913-914: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.962; Arizona (Petit) 14.780
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-105); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-105); Under
Game 915-916: Florida at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.574; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.868
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Over
Game 917-918: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 16.010; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 17.572
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-190); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-190); Over
Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 14.083; Toronto (Halladay) 15.297
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Under
Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Colon) 14.883; Detroit (Bonine) 15.310
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 15.266; Boston (Penny) 14.822
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+145); Under
Game 925-926: Texas at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 14.988; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.690
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over
Game 927-928: Minnesota at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.419; LA Angels (Lackey) 16.959
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-150); Over
Game 929-930: Cleveland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 14.648; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.702
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Under
Game 931-932: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Contreras) 15.083; Detroit (Verlander) 16.214
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-170); Over

 

[Yanks]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB Baseball

100* Play Detroit (-165) over Chicago White Sox GM1 (TOP MLB PLAY)

Detroit has won 13 of the last 16 day home games and they have also won 9 of the last 12 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher. Justin Verlander has won 9 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 8.5 to 10 runs and he is also 6-0 at home this season with an ERA of 1.34. Chicago has lost 10 of the last 15 games when playing on a Friday and Jose Contreras has lost 6 of the last 8 games as an underdog of +100 or higher.



100* Play Boston (-150) over Baltimore (TOP MLB PLAY)

Baltimore has lost 5 of the last 6 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 15 road games vs. division opponents. Bradley Bergesen has lost 8 of the last 9 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-3 in road games this season with an ERA of 4.57. Boston has won 10 of the last 11 games when playing with a day off and they have also won 4 consecutive games vs. Baltimore at home.




50* Play Chicago Cubs (-145) over Cincinnati (BONUS MLB PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 11 of the last 15 games and they have also lost 16 of the last 25 games as an underdog of +125 to +175. Aaron Harang has lost 2 consecutive games when playing on a Friday and he is also 1-6 in road games this season with an ERA of 5.40.




50* Play LA Angels (-145) over Minnesota (BONUS MLB PLAY)

Los Angeles has won 10 of the last 11 games and they have also won 12 of the last 13 games when having an on base percentage of .360 or better over the last 15 games. John Lackey has won 12 of the last 15 games when playing in the month of July and he also has an ERA of 3.48 over the last 3 starts. Minnesota has lost 4 of the last 5 games and Francisco Liriano is 4-9 this season with an ERA of 5.33.




CFL Football


50* Play Winnipeg (-4.5) over Toronto (TOP CFL FOOTBALL PLAY)

Winnipeg has won 7 of the last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games when the total posted is between 49.5 and 52 points. Toronto has lost 14 of the last 16 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 games after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games.

 

[Yanks]

RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 07/24 Florida Marlins at LA Dodgers pick: LA Dodgers pts: -1.5 (+155) 3 units
MLB 07/24 Florida Marlins at LA Dodgers pick: LA Dodgers pts: -145 3 units
MLB 07/24 Florida Marlins at LA Dodgers pick: over pts: Over 7 = 3 units
MLB 07/24 Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -1.5 (+140) 3 units
*BP* = MLB 07/24 Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox pick: Boston Red Sox pts: -145 5 units *BP*
MLB 07/24 Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals pick: Texas Rangers pts: +120 3 units
MLB 07/24 Minnesota Twins at LA Angels pick: LA Angels pts: -145 2 units
MLB 07/24 Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers pick: Chicago White Sox pts: +160 2 units



RatedPicks Bonus Play(s) for 7/24

AZ D'Backs +105
Rays/Jays Over 7.5

 

[Yanks]

SmartMoney

Smart Money MLB #915 Florida OVER just hit by sharps